TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain score more goals than Belgium in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Spain and Belgium score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium score more goals than Spain in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain score more goals than Belgium in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Spain and Belgium score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Belgium" if Belgium score more goals than Spain in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants who have financial incentive to forecast accurately, whereas sportsbooks adjust odds primarily to balance liability. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers differ on the second-half outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where the cost of buying or selling shares reflects the current probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As match conditions change and new information surfaces, the price adjusts dynamically based on order flow and trader activity. This continuous repricing ensures that this market remains responsive to evolving expectations about how the second half will unfold.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the Spain vs. Belgium match concludes and the second-half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half only, independent of first-half events. Resolution occurs after the match is complete and the result has been confirmed through standard sports reporting channels.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, and first-half momentum shifts that signal second-half tactical adjustments. In-game events such as early goals, red cards, or substitutions can significantly alter trader expectations about the final second-half outcome. Weather conditions, crowd dynamics, and real-time commentary may also influence how participants reassess the probability of different results as kickoff approaches and the match progresses.