TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market group tracks the outcome of the Spain versus Austria FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 2, 2026, across multiple bet types including spreads, goal totals, and both-teams-to-score propositions. The consensus probability aggregated from Predict and Polymarket shows Spain favored at a -1.5 spread with 100.0% probability on the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from FIFA.com or the governing body, with credible reporting sources used as backup if official data is unavailable within 2 hours post-match. Watch for the final whistle on July 2 at 3:00 PM ET, which marks the end of regular play plus stoppage time for settlement purposes.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.
Polymarket and Predict can show different odds on the same outcome for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity depths, so prices adjust at different speeds to new information. Polymarket may emphasize total goals or match results, while Predict focuses on spreads, creating separate order books and equilibria. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when one platform lags behind the other, but transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent traders from fully closing the gap. Monitoring both helps you understand which forecast is more consensus-driven.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—typically drives sharp moves in this market. Recent form, head-to-head history, and venue conditions also influence trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or professional traders entering the market can shift prices quickly, especially as kickoff approaches and liquidity concentrates. Weather, last-minute roster announcements, or unexpected coaching decisions in the final hours before the match often trigger volatility. Monitoring sports news outlets and social media chatter alongside this market's price action helps you anticipate moves and time your trades strategically.