TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Spain vs. Austria - More Markets
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polymarket

What is the result of Spain vs Austria?

Volume:
$31,961,610

Spain (-1.5)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spain (-1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$11,072,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spain (-1.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$27,490
$271,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Team to Advance

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$4,951,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Team to Advance

N/A
N/A
—
$85,265
$480,073
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$3,402,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

N/A
N/A
—
$38,954
$205,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$767,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$743,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 1.5

N/A
N/A
—
$23,409
$93,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain (-2.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$722,924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spain (-2.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$10,281
$43,565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$630,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$374,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 0.5

N/A
N/A
—
$20,384
$27,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$266,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$146,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,985
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,614,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,532,954
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5

N/A
N/A
—
$567
$131,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,456,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 66

Intro

This market group tracks the outcome of the Spain versus Austria FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 2, 2026, across multiple bet types including spreads, goal totals, and both-teams-to-score propositions. The consensus probability aggregated from Predict and Polymarket shows Spain favored at a -1.5 spread with 100.0% probability on the leading outcome. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from FIFA.com or the governing body, with credible reporting sources used as backup if official data is unavailable within 2 hours post-match. Watch for the final whistle on July 2 at 3:00 PM ET, which marks the end of regular play plus stoppage time for settlement purposes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms apply identical resolution logic: official FIFA.com statistics as primary source, 90-minute regular play plus stoppage time scope, 2-hour fallback to credible reporting, and consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from FIFA.com or the governing body (FIFA); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources.

Core resolution logic:

  • All markets resolve on the official final score published by FIFA.com within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions.
  • If the governing body does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used as fallback.
  • All markets settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed; resolution then follows standard logic based on final score.
  • Cancellation without makeup: All markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No, or between both outcomes in spread markets).
  • Incomplete match: If the game is started but not completed, markets resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com at the time of stoppage.
  • Score revision after resolution: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for; the score at resolution time stands.
  • Halftime vs second-half scope: Halftime markets cover only the first 45 minutes plus first-half stoppage time; second-half markets cover only minutes 46-90 plus second-half stoppage time; full-match markets cover all 90 minutes plus total stoppage time.
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the official conclusion of the match (end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time). If official statistics are not published within this window, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets remain open if the match is postponed and resolve only after the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.

Predict

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same event differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on traders to discover prices through supply and demand. This market often reflects sharper, less-biased estimates because traders risk real capital and compete directly for accuracy. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional oddsmakers and larger liquidity pools. Comparing both sources helps you spot value: if this market's implied probability diverges significantly from a sportsbook line, it may signal mispricing worth exploiting.

Polymarket and Predict can show different odds on the same outcome for several reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity depths, so prices adjust at different speeds to new information. Polymarket may emphasize total goals or match results, while Predict focuses on spreads, creating separate order books and equilibria. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when one platform lags behind the other, but transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent traders from fully closing the gap. Monitoring both helps you understand which forecast is more consensus-driven.

Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—typically drives sharp moves in this market. Recent form, head-to-head history, and venue conditions also influence trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or professional traders entering the market can shift prices quickly, especially as kickoff approaches and liquidity concentrates. Weather, last-minute roster announcements, or unexpected coaching decisions in the final hours before the match often trigger volatility. Monitoring sports news outlets and social media chatter alongside this market's price action helps you anticipate moves and time your trades strategically.