TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Spain will be leading Austria at halftime in their FIFA World Cup match. Across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows Spain leading at halftime at 100.0%, with a draw at halftime at 0.1%. Resolution is based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, or credible reporting consensus if official results are not published within 24 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the July 2, 2026 match kickoff, as the halftime result will be determined by the score at the end of the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The market resolves based on the exact score at the end of the first half of the Spain vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 2, 2026. Each possible first-half scoreline—ranging from 0-0 draws to Spain winning 3-1—constitutes a separate outcome. The market resolves to Yes for whichever outcome matches the actual first-half score when the referee ends the first half. Resolution is determined solely by the official final score of the first half as recorded by the match officials, regardless of any subsequent second-half developments.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price halftime outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, often adjusting for sharp money and public betting patterns. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on decentralized trader consensus—prices reflect what thousands of independent participants believe will happen, without a house margin. This market's odds may diverge from sportsbook lines because traders can enter and exit positions continuously, and there is no built-in vigorish. Over time, prediction markets often converge toward true probabilities, making them valuable benchmarks for comparing against fixed sportsbook pricing.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how outcomes are priced. Polymarket and Predict may weight recent team form, injury news, or historical halftime patterns differently, or one platform may see larger bets from informed traders earlier than the other. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when prices diverge significantly; traders spotting these gaps often trade across both venues to lock in profits, gradually narrowing the spread. Monitoring both platforms gives you a fuller picture of market sentiment and can reveal which outcome is most contested among the broader prediction community.