TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 3:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Spain records 60% or greater possession in the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 19:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, possession will be determined using Spain's possession percentage shown under Stats → Attacking → Possession on the FIFA.com match report page for this specific game. The possession percentage shown for Spain will be used directly for resolution. The "in contest" percentage shown by FIFA will not be included in Spain's possession percentage. Possession reflects the full match, including extra time if played. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by September 2, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Spain records 60% or greater possession in the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match scheduled for July 2, 2026, 19:00 UTC, as recorded in the FIFA.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." For the purposes of this market, possession will be determined using Spain's possession percentage shown under Stats → Attacking → Possession on the FIFA.com match report page for this specific game. The possession percentage shown for Spain will be used directly for resolution. The "in contest" percentage shown by FIFA will not be included in Spain's possession percentage. Possession reflects the full match, including extra time if played. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by September 2, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds reflect real-time consensus among traders who stake capital on outcomes, whereas traditional sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins. This market allows continuous price discovery as new information emerges, often moving faster than sportsbook adjustments. Traders betting on Spain's possession advantage can compare the implied probability here against pregame possession forecasts from major sportsbooks to identify value discrepancies before the match begins.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen odds, and prices adjust based on supply and demand. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread between the highest bid and lowest ask reflects market liquidity and conviction; tighter spreads indicate stronger consensus, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty about whether Spain will achieve the 60% possession threshold.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the Spain versus Austria match concludes and final possession statistics are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether Spain's recorded possession percentage meets or exceeds 60% for the full match. Official match data from UEFA or recognized sports statistics providers will confirm the result, and traders' positions settle accordingly based on the verified figure.
Team news—injuries to key Spain midfielders or Austria's defensive lineup—can shift possession expectations significantly. Tactical announcements or recent form trends in either squad may prompt traders to adjust odds. Pre-match analysis from respected football analysts often triggers volume spikes. Weather conditions reported closer to kickoff, venue factors, and live betting sentiment during the opening minutes can all drive price movement. Major injuries or lineup surprises announced on match day typically cause the sharpest swings in this market.