TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 6:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Spain and Iraq (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 4, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, Spain and Iraq have 4 or more total cards is priced according to the collective bets and positions of all traders on the platform. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the balance between buyers and sellers; as more traders believe the outcome will occur, the price rises, and vice versa. Traders can enter or exit positions continuously until market close. The price discovery process on Limitless incorporates real-time signals—team lineups, referee assignments, historical card patterns, and match context—allowing the market to converge on a consensus probability that may differ from initial sportsbook estimates.
The Spain and Iraq have 4 or more total cards market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final card count from the match between Spain and Iraq. The outcome hinges on whether the combined total of yellow and red cards issued to both teams reaches four or more by the end of regular time and any applicable extra periods. Once the match concludes and official records are confirmed, the market settles based on the verified card tally, and traders' positions are credited or debited accordingly.
Several factors can shift the market price before Jun 5, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can alter playing style and aggression levels. Referee assignment is critical; different officials have varying card-issuing tendencies. Recent form and head-to-head history reveal patterns in disciplinary records. Tactical announcements or coaching changes may signal a more defensive or physical approach. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media coverage can sway trader sentiment. As match day approaches, weather conditions, venue atmosphere, and final team confirmations all influence expectations around card accumulation, prompting traders to adjust positions and move the market price.