TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SP La Fiorita and FC UNA Strassen, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SP La Fiorita" if SP La Fiorita score more goals than FC UNA Strassen in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SP La Fiorita and FC UNA Strassen score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC UNA Strassen" if FC UNA Strassen score more goals than SP La Fiorita in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between SP La Fiorita and FC UNA Strassen, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SP La Fiorita" if SP La Fiorita score more goals than FC UNA Strassen in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SP La Fiorita and FC UNA Strassen score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC UNA Strassen" if FC UNA Strassen score more goals than SP La Fiorita in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may price the second half outcome differently than traditional sports betting sites because traders on Polymarket incorporate unique information flows and have different risk tolerances. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where informed traders see value relative to conventional bookmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker and order book mechanism, where each share represents a claim on one outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate of all buy and sell orders; as more traders back one result, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. Liquidity providers help ensure tight spreads, and the fee structure incentivizes active participation. Prices converge toward true probability as the match approaches and new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals in the second half alone, independent of the first-half score or final result. Resolution occurs after official confirmation, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Early closure or postponement would follow Polymarket's standard event rules, though the market remains open for trading until the specified deadline.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff, which can alter perceived second-half strength. Early match momentum—goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments in the first half—often influences how traders expect the second half to unfold. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates may also shift sentiment. As the match progresses and the first half concludes, traders will reprice based on actual performance, fatigue levels, and emerging patterns, causing sharp price movements in this market.