TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Southport and Wigan, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Southport or Wigan wins the professional Club Friendlies soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Southport winning by more than 2.5 goals, Southport winning by more than 1.5 goals, Wigan winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Wigan winning by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to Yes if the actual result meets any of these conditions after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty phases are excluded from consideration. The resolution depends entirely on the final score within regular time, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that reflect the likely point differential when Southport faces Wigan. The current implied probability reflects the market’s best estimate of which team will cover the spread, with price fluctuations driven by new betting activity, injury updates, and shifting team form.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether Southport or Wigan covers the spread, and the market will settle accordingly based on that official result.
Injuries to key players, changes in team strategy, weather conditions, and form leading up to the match could all shift trader sentiment. Media reports, expert analysis, and betting trends on Kalshi often precede price movements in this market, so keep an eye on pre-match news and in-play dynamics as the game approaches.