TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Southern Utah and St. Thomas. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold, reflecting different levels of victory margin for either team. The outcomes provide granular insight into the expected competitiveness of the matchup.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Southern Utah vs St. Thomas college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Southern Utah exceeds the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Southern Utah wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if St. Thomas exceeds its specified margin, the relevant 'St. Thomas wins by over Y points' market resolves to Yes. For any game postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game’s likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Southern Utah vs St. Thomas game. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate views risk losing capital. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and efficient estimate of the true spread, based on the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Southern Utah vs St. Thomas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body for college football, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The final score will be the determining factor in settling this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Southern Utah or St. Thomas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or players that suggest a change in strategy or team morale could influence trader sentiment and impact the price. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades could also be a signal of shifting expectations.