TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Southern Miss and Tulane. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Southern Miss vs Tulane college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a points margin exceeding the specified threshold for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders buy low on one venue and sell high on the other. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the Southern Miss vs Tulane game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in various outcomes, influencing the price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the Southern Miss vs Tulane game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from a reputable sports data provider and used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Southern Miss or Tulane teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could trigger adjustments in this market as traders react to perceived shifts in public opinion.