TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Southern Miss and Auburn. It focuses solely on performance during the second quarter, ignoring the overall game result. The outcome depends entirely on the points scored in that quarter, with special provisions for game postponements.
If Auburn wins the 2nd quarter of the Southern Miss vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Southern Miss wins the 2nd quarter of the Southern Miss vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Southern Miss vs Auburn college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe one outcome is more likely, the price will move in that direction, potentially creating a contrast with sportsbook lines. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the 2nd quarter. The market's efficiency is driven by traders attempting to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the 2nd quarter of the Southern Miss vs Auburn game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game results will be used to determine which contract will pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the 2nd quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches to understand potential catalysts that might influence the market.
Several signals could move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Southern Miss or Auburn would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they could affect the game's conditions, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or starting lineups could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can indicate informed betting activity and lead to price movement.