TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Southern Miss and Auburn. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Southern Miss vs Auburn college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose money if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the second quarter of the Southern Miss vs Auburn game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Southern Miss or Auburn teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the spread. Public sentiment and betting trends, as reflected in the trading volume, will also play a role in shaping the price of contracts.