TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Southern Miss and Auburn. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the rest of the game’s outcome. The result depends on whether Auburn, Southern Miss, or neither team (in case of a tie) scores more points in that specific segment.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the first quarter of the Southern Miss vs Auburn college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If Auburn scores more points in the first quarter, the 'Auburn wins 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Southern Miss scores more points in the first quarter, the 'Southern Miss wins 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the first quarter, the 'Tie 1st Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their view. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, like late-breaking injury reports or weather forecasts, compared to sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds still represent a significant benchmark and can be a useful point of comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Southern Miss or Auburn winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of their victory. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. The market dynamically adjusts until the resolution of the event.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the first quarter of the Southern Miss vs Auburn game will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Southern Miss or Auburn would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also have an impact. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could influence trader behavior on Kalshi. Finally, even general sentiment and public perception regarding each team’s chances could contribute to price movements in this market.