TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses various thresholds of total points scored in a college football game between Southern Illinois and Murray State. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the game might be.
The market resolves based on whether the combined score of Southern Illinois and Murray State in their college football game exceeds specified point thresholds, ranging from over 34.5 points to over 74.5 points. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves according to the final score. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure that participants are protected against indefinite delays while maintaining the integrity of the betting outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides of a bet, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as the market price represents a collective forecast of the total points scored in the Southern Illinois vs Murray St. game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Southern Illinois vs Murray St. game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific point total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more a particular point total is traded, the more liquid that contract becomes, and the tighter the spread between the buying and selling prices.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the Southern Illinois vs Murray St. game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a point total equal to or exceeding the actual total will settle at 100, while those predicting a lower total will settle to zero. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Southern Illinois or Murray St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring high or low scoring, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could affect traders' perceptions of the likely point total. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.