TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the margin of victory in a college football game between Southern Illinois and Murray State. Each outcome represents a different point spread threshold that determines whether Southern Illinois or Murray State covers the spread. The resolution depends on the final score difference between the two teams.
All markets resolve based on the point differential from the Southern Illinois vs Murray St. college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Southern Illinois wins by exceeding the specified point spread, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome resolves; if Murray St. wins by more than the threshold or the game ends within the spread, the 'No' outcome resolves. Postponements are handled if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a broader range of information and participant perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge due to varying information sources and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see this market incorporate factors that sportsbooks may not immediately account for, leading to potentially different probabilities assigned to outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time representation of expectations for the Southern Illinois vs Murray State game. The current market depth and order flow can be viewed directly on the Kalshi dashboard.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Southern Illinois vs Murray State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning spread. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Southern Illinois or Murray State teams would likely cause significant shifts. News regarding coaching strategies, weather conditions impacting gameplay, or even substantial changes in public perception based on updated team statistics could all contribute to price movement. Unexpected announcements related to player availability or team dynamics are also potential catalysts for changes in this market.