Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Illinois State Redbirds (W)
Volume:
$4,572
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Southern Illinois Salukis and Illinois State Redbirds scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Southern Illinois win and Illinois State win) are mapped to Yes resolution, leaving no valid path to No. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform issues a correction. The market design is broken. Polymarket's binary winner-take-all structure is logically sound and should be your reference for this event.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market with clear dual outcomes: Southern Illinois Salukis (if SIU wins) or Illinois State Redbirds (if ISU wins). Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime. Key Quote: 'If the Southern Illinois Salukis win, the market will resolve to Southern Illinois Salukis. If the Illinois State Redbirds win, the market will resolve to Illinois State Redbirds.'
Kalshi: Yes/No market with contradictory resolution criteria. Both possible outcomes map to Yes: 'If Southern Illinois wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Illinois St. wins...resolves to Yes.' No valid condition for No resolution is specified. Key Quote: 'If Southern Illinois wins the Southern Illinois at Illinois St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.