This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Southern Illinois Salukis and Evansville Aces scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Evansville win OR Southern Illinois win) are stated to resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written. The resolution logic guarantees YES regardless of which team wins, which violates basic binary market structure. Polymarket's winner-take-all logic is the only coherent framework here. Contact Kalshi to clarify whether this is a YES/NO question about a specific team or a data entry error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary resolution: Southern Illinois win resolves to Southern Illinois Salukis, Evansville win resolves to Evansville Aces. Postponements keep market open; cancellations split 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Contradictory dual-YES logic: Both 'If Evansville wins' and 'If Southern Illinois wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, with no defined NO outcome. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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