TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Southend United FC and Tamworth FC scheduled for September 15, 2026. Markets exist for Southend United FC winning, Tamworth FC winning, or the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming National League game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 15, 2026 between Southend United FC and Tamworth FC.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Southend vs Tamworth professional English National League soccer match scheduled for September 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Southend or Tamworth markets occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; penalty shootouts or extra time do not count. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its associated entities.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly differs from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It's important to note that both sources have their strengths; sportsbooks have sophisticated modeling, and this market benefits from a broad range of informed participants.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to distinct market interpretations. Trading mechanisms also play a role; Polymarket may have different fee structures or liquidity levels than Kalshi, influencing how traders behave. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can impact price discovery. Even small differences in initial opinions can be amplified through trading activity, resulting in diverging probabilities for the same event.