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2,633

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5

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Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Little Rock Trojans (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Little Rock Trojans (W)

Volume:
$461,304

Southeast Missouri St.

 - Kalshi

Southeast Missouri St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 4:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Southeast Missouri St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$219,056
N/A
N/A
$100,330
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Little Rock Trojans (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Little Rock

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$239,178
N/A
N/A
$102,289
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Southeast Missouri State Redhawks and Little Rock Trojans scheduled for March 4, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Little Rock win and Southeast Missouri St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary resolution structure.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi until the Yes/Yes contradiction is corrected by the platform. Polymarket's market is logically sound: trade with confidence that the winner will be clearly determined. If you hold Kalshi positions, request clarification or consider exit strategies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to "Southeast Missouri State Redhawks" if they win, or "Little Rock Trojans" if they win. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no make-up game via 50-50 split. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
  • Kalshi: Logically contradictory Yes/Yes structure. States both 'If Little Rock wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Southeast Missouri St. wins... resolves to Yes,' creating an impossible scenario where every outcome resolves identically. Key quote: Both conditions resolve to Yes with no No resolution path defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.