TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Little Rock Trojans (W)
Volume:
$461,304
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Southeast Missouri State Redhawks and Little Rock Trojans scheduled for March 4, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Little Rock win and Southeast Missouri St. win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary resolution structure.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi until the Yes/Yes contradiction is corrected by the platform. Polymarket's market is logically sound: trade with confidence that the winner will be clearly determined. If you hold Kalshi positions, request clarification or consider exit strategies.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to "Southeast Missouri State Redhawks" if they win, or "Little Rock Trojans" if they win. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no make-up game via 50-50 split. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory Yes/Yes structure. States both 'If Little Rock wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Southeast Missouri St. wins... resolves to Yes,' creating an impossible scenario where every outcome resolves identically. Key quote: Both conditions resolve to Yes with no No resolution path defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.