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Southampton FC vs. Stoke City FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Southampton FC vs. Stoke City FC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$406,402

Watford

 - Kalshi

Watford - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 10:45 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Watford

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$165,156
N/A
N/A
$90,450
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Southampton FC

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Southampton

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$173,710
N/A
N/A
$105,442
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,002
N/A
N/A
$44,252
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stoke City FC

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks which football team will score the first goal in the Southampton FC versus Stoke City FC match. The current aggregated consensus probability shows Southampton FC to score first with 62.5%, while Stoke City FC follows at 31.5%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official statistics from the event organizers. Watch for the match on August 22, 2026, which will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree that the market resolves based on the first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to "Neither".Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the team that scores first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, the market resolves to "Neither".
  • Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from consideration.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither".
Timing: The market resolves immediately after the conclusion of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, based on the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Southampton FC and Stoke City FC, scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Southampton FC" if Southampton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stoke City FC" if Stoke City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Watford vs Southampton professional EFL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for August 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Watford, a win for Southampton, or a tie. If Watford scores more goals than Southampton by the end of regulation time, the 'Watford' market resolves to Yes. If Southampton scores more goals than Watford, the 'Southampton' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of goals, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The event specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the first goal scorer market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team scoring first. It displays cumulative volume of $406,402 and recent 24-hour volume of $399,794, letting users see where consensus forms. Because this market pulls data from several prediction platforms, you can watch how betting interest shifts as the match approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity rather than traditional sportsbook lines, which often include a house edge. Prediction markets can reflect sharper or more volatile odds because they update continuously based on real-time sentiment. The gap between the two can widen if news — like a key player injury — hits right before kickoff. Comparing the two helps spot potential value shifts.