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Closed: Aug 16, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of the second half of the EFL Championship match between Southampton FC and Millwall FC, focusing on which team scores more goals during that specific period, or whether the half ends in a draw.
In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Southampton FC and Millwall FC, scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Southampton FC" if Southampton FC score more goals than Millwall FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Southampton FC and Millwall FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Millwall FC" if Millwall FC score more goals than Southampton FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 48 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Watford and Southampton both score a goal in the Watford vs Southampton EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment and can adjust more rapidly to new information. In this market, the probability weights assigned to each possible second-half result incorporate real-time trading activity and may show tighter or wider spreads than standard sportsbook offerings. For example, if traders believe a draw is more likely, this market could price it higher than typical bookmaker lines, offering a different edge for bettors watching both channels.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes by managers, or shifting weather conditions could all shift this market. Strong recent form for either side, especially in recent half-time performances, may also influence trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute news — such as lineup announcements or strategic statements — can cause rapid adjustments in the odds assigned to each possible second-half outcome.