TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Southampton FC vs. Derby County FC

Volume:
$199,116
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Southampton FC and Derby County FC scheduled for April 11, 2026. Three related markets track whether Southampton wins, Derby wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 11, 2026, using the same primary source (EFL official statistics or credible reporting consensus), with identical scope and timing requirements.

Primary resolution logic:

Official EFL (English Football League) statistics as recognized by the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Southampton wins (YES on Polymarket Southampton market, YES on Kalshi market 1), Draw (YES on Polymarket draw market, YES on Kalshi market 2), or Derby wins (YES on Polymarket Derby market, YES on Kalshi market 3).
  • Exactly one outcome will occur and resolve to YES; all other markets in the group resolve to NO.
  • If the match is postponed, resolution is delayed until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES (no winner determined), while Polymarket Southampton and Derby markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets remain unresolved or follow similar cancellation protocol.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the April 11, 2026 match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed and resolved according to the same 90-minute-plus-stoppage-time rule.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES (treating cancellation as 'no winner'), while Southampton and Derby win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's treatment of cancellation is not explicitly specified but should follow similar logic.
  • Source Timing: Primary resolution source is official EFL statistics. If EFL does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the authoritative source on both platforms.

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon official EFL announcement of the final match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours post-match, resolution is based on credible reporting consensus at that time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.