TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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South Sudan vs. Nigeria
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of South Sudan vs Nigeria?

Volume:
$179,010

South Sudan

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 10:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

South Sudan

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$95,618
N/A
N/A
$62,949
Settled
Yes
polymarket

South Sudan (-20.5)

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

South Sudan vs. Nigeria

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,467
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nigeria

View
0%
87%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75,920
N/A
N/A
$50,621
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 149.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between South Sudan and Nigeria. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome, Spread: South Sudan (-20.5), is 10.0%. Data is aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution governed by the official FIBA basketball website. Watch for the game result on August 28, 2026, to determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch: Polymarket resolves to a named winner or split for cancellation, while Kalshi always resolves to Yes regardless of winner due to binary yes/no design.Hero tip: Avoid arbitrage opportunities here—Kalshi’s yes/no format makes it fundamentally different from Polymarket’s winner-takes-all structure. Trade based on your view of the actual game outcome, not Kalshi’s yes resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to South Sudan if they win, Nigeria if they win, or 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Always resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins, due to binary yes/no structure. Quote: If South Sudan wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Nigeria wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00AM ET: If the South Sudan win, the market will resolve to "South Sudan". If the Nigeria win, the market will resolve to "Nigeria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Nigeria vs South Sudan men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for Aug 28, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the South Sudan vs. Nigeria football match aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each outcome across venues. It displays current probabilities, volume of $179,010, and 24-hour volume of $178,874, letting you see consensus and divergence as betting activity evolves.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, strong recent performance by either team, betting volume surges on either platform, and pre-match analyst forecasts often influence trader sentiment. Political or logistical disruptions affecting match timing may also create volatility, so tracking official team announcements and venue updates is essential for monitoring potential market movement.