TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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South Sudan vs. Cameroon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of South Sudan vs. Cameroon?

Volume:
$170,423

Cameroon

 - Kalshi

Cameroon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cameroon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,981
N/A
N/A
$43,527
Settled
Yes
kalshi

South Sudan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,151
N/A
N/A
$47,677
Settled
No
polymarket

South Sudan vs. Cameroon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between South Sudan and Cameroon scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the same match but with materially different resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket uses categorical resolution (winner name), while Kalshi uses binary YES resolution triggered by either outcome. The markets measure different settlement dimensions despite covering the same game.Hero tip: Treat these as separate market types. Polymarket traders are betting on team identity; Kalshi traders appear to be betting on a guaranteed YES outcome. Clarify Kalshi's NO condition and edge case handling before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Categorical outcome market. Resolves to 'South Sudan' if South Sudan wins, 'Cameroon' if Cameroon wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime.
  • Kalshi: Binary YES market. Resolves YES if Cameroon wins OR if South Sudan wins. No explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, or overtime stated. Logical structure implies YES in all completion scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 5 at 1:00PM ET: If the South Sudan win, the market will resolve to "South Sudan". If the Cameroon win, the market will resolve to "Cameroon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the winner of the Cameroon vs South Sudan professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity for the South Sudan vs. Cameroon match across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading platforms where traders price the outcome in real time. You can monitor live odds, cumulative trading volume, and consensus probability shifts as the event approaches. The cross-platform view reveals how different market mechanisms and trader bases value each outcome, offering a unified lens on where smart money is positioned. Tracking both platforms helps you spot pricing inefficiencies and understand broader market sentiment around this matchup.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation to establish prices. Prediction market odds often reflect longer-term, aggregated conviction from a diverse participant base, whereas sportsbooks adjust quickly to sharp action and manage risk tightly. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than your favorite sportsbook, especially if one platform attracts more informed traders or if the event carries lower mainstream attention.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under distinct rule sets, fee structures, and user demographics, all of which influence pricing. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Liquidity depth, settlement timelines, and regulatory frameworks also vary between platforms, meaning traders may demand different risk premiums on each venue. Additionally, arbitrage friction—withdrawal delays, slippage on large trades, or platform-specific restrictions—can prevent prices from converging instantly. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand which platform's crowd is more bullish or bearish on the outcome.

Key injuries, lineup announcements, and recent team form will likely drive significant price swings leading up to kickoff. International match dynamics—such as qualification stakes, head-to-head history, or home-field advantage—can shift trader conviction sharply. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster changes often trigger volatility in the final hours. Additionally, sharp money flowing into one side or sudden volume spikes on either platform may signal informed positioning, prompting broader market repricing. Monitor team social media, official federation announcements, and platform volume trends for early signals.