TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 6 at 6:30AM ET: If the South Korea win, the market will resolve to "South Korea". If the Japan win, the market will resolve to "Japan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for July 6 at 6:30AM ET: If the South Korea win, the market will resolve to "South Korea". If the Japan win, the market will resolve to "Japan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market's odds may move faster or differently than sportsbooks as new information emerges, offering traders an alternative lens on the likely outcome compared to conventional sports betting lines.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed; as more capital flows toward one side, that outcome's price rises and its implied probability increases. This continuous pricing mechanism means the odds update in real time based on trading activity, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at market-determined rates throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the South Korea vs. Japan event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, with no ambiguity about which team prevailed. Resolution typically follows shortly after the final whistle, allowing traders to settle their positions and collect winnings on the correct side.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or coaching changes that alter competitive balance. Pre-match analysis, recent head-to-head records, and performance trends in qualifying rounds can shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, home-field advantage factors, and late-breaking tactical adjustments may also influence odds. As the match date approaches, accumulating data on team form and player fitness typically drives meaningful repricing in this market.