TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 10:19 AM EST
Kalshi
A national team will compete in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with one of their players or the team collectively emerging as the leading goal scorer during the tournament.
The market determines South Korea's leading goal scorer at the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time count toward the total; penalty shootout goals do not. If no goals are scored by any player, the No Goalscorer market resolves to Yes. When two or more players tie for the most goals, Yes holders receive 1/N of their payout (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N equals the number of tied players. No holders receive $1 minus the Yes payout amount.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and expert predictions. Markets aggregate real-time information and trader conviction, sometimes moving faster than published expert consensus. While analysts may rely on historical statistics and qualitative assessment, prediction markets incorporate live trading signals and dynamic probability updates. Comparing Kalshi odds to independent analyst reports and sports forecasts can reveal where the market is pricing in different assumptions about player form, team dynamics, and competition structure leading up to Jul 20, 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, South Korea: Goal Leader is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract where each potential goal leader is represented by a separate share. The price of each share reflects the market's implied probability that outcome will occur. Traders buy shares at the ask price if they believe that player will lead South Korea in goals, or sell at the bid if they disagree. Prices fluctuate based on order flow, new information, and shifting trader sentiment as the event approaches Jul 20, 2026.
The South Korea: Goal Leader market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final goal-scoring statistics for South Korea across the relevant competition or tournament period. The player with the highest number of goals scored will be designated the goal leader. If there is a tie in goal count, resolution rules specific to the market will apply. Traders should review the market terms carefully to understand any tiebreaker provisions or special conditions that may affect the final outcome determination.
Several factors could shift odds for South Korea: Goal Leader before Jul 20, 2026. Injuries or suspensions to key strikers will reduce their goal-scoring potential and lower their odds. Strong individual performances in warm-up matches or early tournament games boost a player's probability. Changes in team tactics, coaching decisions, or lineup rotations affect playing time and scoring opportunities. International form, domestic league performance, and media narratives about emerging talent also influence trader sentiment. Major tournament announcements, squad confirmations, and real-time match results throughout the competition will drive continuous price adjustments.