TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:28 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between South Florida and Bowling Green. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded by the combined scores of both teams, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets assess whether the combined first-half points scored by South Florida and Bowling Green in their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 41.5 points. Only points scored during the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical analysis and expert opinions, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of a diverse range of traders. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate forecasts, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies between the two can highlight potential biases or overlooked factors, and may present opportunities for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates what percentage of the total outcome the market believes will occur, and reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half between South Florida and Bowling Green will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded or fell short of the threshold implied by the market price at resolution. The official game statistics will serve as the source for the final result, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either South Florida or Bowling Green would likely impact the perceived scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game's pace and scoring. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated statistical models, could influence trading activity and cause the price to fluctuate. Unexpected developments in team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role.