TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks scoring performance in a college football matchup, allowing participants to assess whether specific teams will exceed various point thresholds. Outcomes depend solely on the official game score, with adjustments for scheduling changes.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by either South Florida or Army in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the updated result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, determined independently of the original scoring thresholds. Each market specifies a distinct point threshold for one team; if the team's score exceeds its respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the South Florida vs Army game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific outcome, effectively creating a probabilistic forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the South Florida vs Army game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the threshold represented by each contract's price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries on either the South Florida or Army teams would likely cause substantial price movement, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's scoring potential. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could lead to changes in the price of contracts in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding market dynamics.