TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Army will win their college football game against South Florida by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 62.0% probability to Army winning by over 1.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the South Florida vs Army game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, as determined by the final score and point spread; specifically, a ‘Yes’ resolution requires South Florida to win by more than 4.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself on September 12, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s outcome.
The event consists of multiple markets, each corresponding to a specific point-spread threshold for either South Florida or Army to win by in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the designated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the point-spread condition.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust their expectations based on new information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or other game-day factors. It’s common to see this market odds move in response to news or events that haven’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the South Florida vs Army spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the South Florida vs Army football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers and widely recognized sports news outlets. Traders who correctly predicted the direction and magnitude of the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The final score will determine the winning side of this market.
Several factors could influence the South Florida vs Army spread market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated power rankings, could also play a role. Even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could cause the odds to shift as traders react to new information before Sep 12, 2026.