TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the South Dakota vs Youngstown St. college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Youngstown St. wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any of the markets labeled 'Youngstown St. wins by over X points,' that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if South Dakota wins by a margin exceeding the threshold in markets labeled 'South Dakota wins by over X points,' those resolve to Yes, otherwise No. For any game postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain active and resolve per the final result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect information and insights beyond those captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market incorporates a wider range of factors as traders continuously update their assessments. This can include news about player injuries, weather conditions, or even subtle shifts in public perception. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, particularly when there's significant uncertainty or incomplete information available to the public. However, sportsbook odds still provide a valuable benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, which represents the cost of immediately entering or exiting a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of the market's true expectation.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the South Dakota vs Youngstown State football game. The market will settle based on the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of regulation play. Any overtime periods will be included in determining the final spread. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the market's outcome, based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause a shift in the spread. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as they affect the teams' playing styles. Significant public betting activity on sportsbooks could create arbitrage opportunities, prompting traders to adjust their positions. Finally, any late-breaking news about team morale, coaching decisions, or strategic adjustments could also move the market as traders react to new information.