TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Boise State in their upcoming college football game against South Dakota. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively Boise State might win.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the South Dakota vs Boise State college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. If Boise State wins by exceeding the specified point margin for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are permitted if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting volume, while this market represents what traders believe is the actual probability of each outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbooks as new information emerges or as different groups of bettors weigh in. Comparing these odds can offer a broader perspective on the expected result of the South Dakota vs Boise State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the South Dakota vs Boise State game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective opinion. Essentially, buyers are expressing a belief that the spread is *less* likely than the current price suggests, while sellers believe it's *more* likely. This dynamic process determines the odds you see on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the South Dakota vs Boise State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports authorities. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual point difference at the end of the game. The market’s final price will reflect the collective prediction of all participants leading up to the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Dakota or Boise State teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they are expected to impact the game significantly, could also shift the odds. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though this market is driven by traders’ assessments, not external opinions. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are other potential catalysts that could move the market before Sep 20, 2026.