TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Feb 25, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between South Dakota State Jackrabbits and North Dakota State Bison scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (North Dakota St. wins OR South Dakota St. wins) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses a sound binary structure.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this event. Kalshi's market is logically broken and cannot be settled fairly. If you hold Kalshi positions, request clarification or withdrawal before the game date.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure. South Dakota State win resolves to 'South Dakota State Jackrabbits'; North Dakota State win resolves to 'North Dakota State Bison'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution includes overtime. Key Quote: 'If the South Dakota State Jackrabbits win, the market will resolve to South Dakota State Jackrabbits. If the North Dakota State Bison win, the market will resolve to North Dakota State Bison.'Kalshi:
Logically contradictory structure. States both 'If North Dakota St. wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If South Dakota St. wins...resolves to Yes.' Since only one team can win, both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. Market is unresolvable as written. Key Quote: 'If North Dakota St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If South Dakota St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.