TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many yards they gain through receptions. The outcome depends on whether each team meets or exceeds various yardage thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official receiving yards tallied by each team during the South Carolina vs Alabama college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Receiving yards from both regular play and overtime periods are included, while successful two-point conversions do not contribute. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets settle at a fair price. Each market has a specific yardage threshold for each team; if the team's total meets or exceeds its respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' potential performance. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of the actual total falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations, influenced by factors like player news, weather forecasts, and expert analysis. The most actively traded contracts indicate the ranges traders believe are most likely.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals from the South Carolina vs Alabama game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The market’s resolution is based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes to the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding the opposing defenses, such as a key player being ruled out, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking analysis from football experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could influence trader behavior and cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.