TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are caught by players from each team during a college football matchup. The outcomes depend on whether specific players on either team achieve thresholds for receptions that result in points.
These markets resolve based on the total number of receiving touchdowns scored by either Alabama or South Carolina in their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A receiving touchdown is counted when a player catches the ball and scores, including instances where the player recovers their own fumble and scores subsequently. Touchdowns scored by other players after recovering a fumble originally made by a receiver do not count. All receiving touchdowns, including those scored during overtime periods, are included in the totals. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from the count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public perception and expert analysis. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own models, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It’s common to see this market odds adjust more dynamically than sportsbook odds, especially as game day approaches and more data becomes available. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium, representing the aggregated forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds can change rapidly based on supply and demand, and the volume of trading provides insight into the strength of conviction behind each prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which teams actually score touchdowns during the South Carolina vs Alabama football game. The final score and official game statistics will be used to determine the winning contract(s). Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress as it unfolds to understand the potential implications for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either South Carolina or Alabama would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if severe weather is predicted, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect market sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any significant betting trends observed in sportsbooks may also be reflected in this market, as traders react to the broader information landscape.