TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points specifically in the fourth quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Alabama. It focuses solely on the final 15 minutes of regulation play, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends entirely on comparative scoring in that single quarter, not the overall game result.
If Alabama wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the South Carolina vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the South Carolina vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the South Carolina vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, but this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more refined assessment of probabilities. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and can provide a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion among bettors and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either South Carolina or Alabama winning the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adjust based on the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning team. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either South Carolina or Alabama would likely have a significant impact. Game-day weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the teams' performance and, consequently, market prices. Finally, any major news or analysis released by sports analysts or commentators could sway public opinion and drive trading volume, causing the odds to fluctuate.