TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either South Carolina or Alabama specifically in the second half of their college football matchup, including any overtime periods. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the designated college football game between South Carolina and Alabama. Each market has a specific threshold: if Alabama wins the second half by more than the stated margin, those markets resolve to 'Yes'; conversely, if South Carolina wins by more than the stated margin, the corresponding markets resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading continues and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second half count toward these outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game's outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as betting activity increases, the prices in this market can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed traders. It's common to see differences, especially as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual point spread achieved in the second half of the South Carolina vs Alabama football game. Official results from the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding losing contracts will receive nothing. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the South Carolina or Alabama teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also drive price fluctuations as they react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings in this market.