TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between South Carolina and Alabama. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the rest of the game’s outcome. The result depends on whether Alabama, South Carolina, or neither team (in case of a tie) scores more points in that specific segment.
If Alabama wins the 1st quarter of the South Carolina vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina wins the 1st quarter of the South Carolina vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the South Carolina vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. However, it’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, particularly if public sentiment aligns with the market’s assessment of probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the first-quarter winner. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading after the first quarter of the South Carolina vs Alabama game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the quarter concludes and the results are officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either South Carolina or Alabama would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations leading up to the game.