TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between South Carolina and Alabama. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could lead at halftime, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes for the game's early stages.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the South Carolina vs Alabama college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's lead meets or exceeds the stated point differential threshold at halftime. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, markets remain active and resolve per the actual halftime result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting equitable adjustment for unforeseen disruptions while maintaining integrity of predictions.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing forecasts that are as accurate, or even more so, than traditional sources like sportsbooks or expert polls. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many participants. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, but as the event approaches, the prices in this market often converge with those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting a shared understanding of the likely outcome. However, it's important to remember that these are distinct markets with different participants and motivations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the South Carolina vs Alabama game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular spread, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecasts in real-time, providing a constantly updated assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half spread of the South Carolina vs Alabama game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final official result as determined by the governing body of college football. The market will settle to 100 for the winning spread and 0 for the losing spread, based on the official result. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing spread will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Carolina or Alabama teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence prices. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies or matchups could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.