TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The market determines which team, if any, scores the first touchdown in the South Alabama vs Tulane college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count toward the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If neither team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the 'No team scores a TD' market resolves as the winner. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves at a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on quantitative models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant public interest and information available. However, sportsbook odds may move more quickly in response to breaking news or injury reports, while this market’s price discovery is driven by trader activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to own one unit of exposure to that outcome, and reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding its likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market is always reflecting the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team – South Alabama or Tulane – scores the first touchdown in the game. The official game records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official results will be addressed using widely available and trusted sources. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries for either South Alabama or Tulane would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions affecting the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move this market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.