TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win over the other. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final point difference in the South Alabama vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets where Kentucky must win by a specified margin, the outcome resolves to Yes only if Kentucky's victory exceeds that exact point differential. One market instead requires South Alabama to win by more than 1.5 points for a Yes resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point spread conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the game’s outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives a different probability than sportsbooks, potentially due to factors not fully captured in traditional models. It's important to note that prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy than traditional polls.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the South Alabama vs Kentucky game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. Traders will be able to view the final result and their contract payouts on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to Sep 26, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either South Alabama or Kentucky would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also cause movement. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, potentially driving price changes in this market.