TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,422
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 2:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between South Alabama and Kentucky. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the South Alabama vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds outlined in individual markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. This often leads to prediction markets incorporating information more quickly and potentially offering more accurate probabilities, though sportsbook odds remain a widely used benchmark for comparison. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the South Alabama vs Kentucky football game, specifically the difference in points scored between the two teams at the end of the second quarter. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the contract’s spread, and proportionally less if it differs, reflecting the accuracy of predictions made within this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Alabama or Kentucky teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.