TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between South Alabama and Kentucky. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the South Alabama vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any market, if the specified team wins the first quarter by more than the stated point margin, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analyses, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional sportsbooks as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment than traditional betting venues, offering a potentially different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the first quarter spread of the South Alabama vs Kentucky game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the market. The closer the game gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information and opinions are factored in by participants.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final first quarter spread of the South Alabama vs Kentucky game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the South Alabama or Kentucky teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, can also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could shift the market as traders react to the evolving landscape surrounding the South Alabama vs Kentucky game.