TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 10:40 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional FIFA World Cup soccer match between two teams scheduled for June 24, 2026, where the outcome depends on which team, if any, scores the first goal during the entire match including regulation, stoppage time, and extra time periods.
The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire match, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal is an own goal, the market resolves based on the team awarded the goal by match officials. If no team scores throughout the entire match, the 'No Goal' outcome resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate decentralized participant views rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets price based on continuous trading. For the South Africa vs Korea Republic first-goal market, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks reveals how professional bettors and casual traders value each outcome differently, often reflecting distinct information or risk appetites.
On Kalshi, the South Africa vs Korea Republic first-goal market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders; higher prices indicate stronger consensus that team will score first. Kalshi's binary structure means prices range from near-zero to near-100, with spreads tightening as match day approaches and new information emerges.
The South Africa vs Korea Republic: First Team to Score market resolves on Jun 25, 2026, following the conclusion of the match. Resolution is determined by official match records identifying which team scores the opening goal. If neither team scores, or if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, the market outcome is determined according to the platform's published resolution criteria for this event type.
Key catalysts for price movement include team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players, official lineups released before kickoff, and recent form trends in both squads' attacking and defensive performance. Weather conditions at the venue, head-to-head historical patterns, and any late tactical adjustments can shift trader expectations. As match day approaches, each confirmed detail—from starting XI to pitch conditions—typically triggers repricing as the market incorporates fresh information into odds.