TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether South Africa will win its professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game against Guinea. Currently, Kalshi gives South Africa a 99.0% probability of winning, with Guinea at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the South Africa vs Guinea professional AFCON Qualifiers game. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 26, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the resolution of this market.
The event determines the winner of the South Africa vs Guinea professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer game scheduled for September 26, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: South Africa win, Guinea win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts and underlying assumptions about the South Africa vs Guinea match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the South Africa vs Guinea match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, analysis, and overall market activity, creating a dynamic pricing environment for this event. The goal is to accurately forecast the result of the match based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the South Africa vs Guinea match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of any potential factors that could influence the final result of this market.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either South Africa or Guinea would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also influence the odds. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could drive price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities and thus the price of contracts in this market.