TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves Yes if both South Africa and Canada each score at least one goal during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 28, 2026. Only goals scored after halftime count toward this market.
If South Africa and Canada both score a goal in the 2nd Half of the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders see value in a both-teams-to-score outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi disagrees with professional oddsmakers, though both should be viewed as estimates rather than certainties.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks on shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the last matched trade, and the spread between buy and sell orders indicates liquidity and conviction. As traders update their views on second-half scoring likelihood, the price adjusts in real time. Higher prices suggest stronger belief that both teams will score; lower prices indicate skepticism. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the South Africa versus Canada match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether both teams scored at least one goal each during the second half of regulation play. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official match records are confirmed. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule and any postponements or rescheduling announcements that could affect the resolution date.
Team news and lineup announcements—such as injuries to key forwards or defensive players—can significantly shift odds on both-teams-to-score outcomes. Tactical adjustments revealed in pre-match press conferences may indicate whether either side plans a defensive approach in the second half. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader expectations. Additionally, early first-half events, such as an early goal or red card, often trigger repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of an open, attacking second half. Monitor team social media and official injury reports for the most current information.