TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether South Africa and Canada will combine for more than 0.5 goals during regulation time in their FIFA World Cup match. The leading outcome, over 0.5 goals, currently stands at 75.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official goal count recorded during the 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties, as documented by FIFA. Watch for team lineups and weather conditions announced closer to the June 28, 2026 match date, as these factors typically influence scoring patterns in World Cup fixtures.
Resolution is based on the total goals scored by both teams during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) of the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 28, 2026. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific goal threshold: outcomes resolve to Yes if the combined goal total exceeds 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals respectively.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking information because traders profit directly from accuracy. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional and casual bettors disagree on the likelihood of various goal totals. Both venues ultimately reflect probability estimates, but prediction markets often lead sportsbooks in adjusting to new developments.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the South Africa vs Canada match concludes and the final goal count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined solely by the total number of goals scored during regulation time—the standard 90-minute period—and does not include goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Resolution occurs after the match is complete and the official result is confirmed through established sports reporting channels. Traders holding positions at resolution will see their contracts settled based on the verified final goal total.
Team news and injury updates can significantly shift odds, particularly if key strikers or defensive players are ruled out or confirmed fit. Recent form, head-to-head history, and lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp price moves as new information enters the market. Weather conditions and pitch quality at the venue may influence goal-scoring potential. Late-breaking tactical changes or managerial decisions can also sway trader expectations. As the match approaches, real-time developments during the pre-match period—such as surprise absences or tactical surprises—typically generate the most volatile trading activity in this market.