TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final score after regulation time in the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 28, 2026. On Kalshi, a 0-0 draw is priced at 28.0%, while a Canada 1-0 victory is at 23.0%. Resolution is determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for team lineups and weather conditions announced in the days leading up to the June 28, 2026 kickoff, as these factors typically influence scoring patterns in international soccer matches.
This event covers all possible regulation-time correct score outcomes for the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties explicitly excluded from consideration. The market encompasses a comprehensive range of potential scorelines, including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), South African victories (1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 3-2), and Canadian victories across multiple score differentials (1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 4-0, 5-0, 2-1, 3-1, 4-1, 5-1, 3-2, 4-2, 5-2, 4-3). Each specific scoreline represents a distinct resolution outcome, allowing bettors to predict the precise final tally of the match during regulation play.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook lines depending on which venue's participants have fresher information about team form, injuries, or tactical adjustments. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning ahead of kickoff.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of active traders, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. Liquidity and spreads vary depending on trading volume and the number of competing orders, so prices can shift rapidly as new positions are entered or closed.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the South Africa vs Canada match concludes and the final regulation-time score is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official match result. Traders holding shares in the correct final scoreline receive their payout, while all other outcome shares expire worthless. Early closure or extension of the trading window may occur if the match is postponed or rescheduled.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup announcements, as well as recent form and head-to-head records. Tactical changes, weather conditions on match day, and betting-market activity on traditional sportsbooks can also influence trader positioning. Late-breaking developments like venue changes or referee assignments may trigger repricing. As kickoff approaches, this market typically tightens as uncertainty resolves and the true probability becomes clearer.