TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the combined goals scored by South Africa and Canada during their FIFA World Cup match on June 28, 2026. The consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict shows 100.0% for the over/under 0.5 goals outcome. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA.com final match statistics and official governing body records, covering only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Watch for the match kickoff at 3:00 PM ET on June 28 to see how the teams' attacking strategies unfold.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 28 at 3:00 PM ET.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket may reflect one subset of informed opinion while Predict captures another, particularly if one venue has deeper liquidity or lower trading costs. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these gaps, but temporary divergences persist due to geographic restrictions, platform-specific incentives, or differences in how each market frames the outcome. Monitoring both venues helps identify which consensus is strongest.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, and any weather or venue changes affecting play conditions. Betting market movement on traditional sportsbooks often precedes prediction market shifts, so monitoring those lines can signal incoming repricing. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and late-breaking news about player availability will likely trigger volatility. As the match date approaches, closing odds on major sportsbooks typically converge with prediction market prices, reflecting final consensus.