TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 10:59 PM EST
Kalshi
A national soccer team's goal-scoring performance is tracked across multiple threshold levels during the 2026 FIFA World Cup tournament.
South Africa's total goals are measured across the full 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup tournament, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Own goals scored by opposing players that benefit South Africa count toward South Africa's goal total. Own goals scored by South Africa's players that benefit the opposing team do not count toward South Africa's total. Each market resolves to Yes if South Africa reaches or exceeds its specified goal threshold during the tournament.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets aggregate real-time trader conviction across thousands of participants, while analysts typically publish periodic reports. Market prices for South Africa: Tournament Goals reflect dynamic information—team form, injury updates, and betting patterns—instantly, whereas analyst models may lag behind breaking news. Comparing Kalshi odds to published forecasts from sports analysts or tournament preview reports can reveal whether the market is pricing in factors analysts have overlooked or vice versa.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, South Africa: Tournament Goals is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract where each outcome trades between 0 and 100 cents, representing implied probability. Traders buy or sell shares based on their belief about tournament goal totals, with the price reflecting the collective market view. As new information emerges—team rosters, venue conditions, or historical tournament patterns—prices adjust fluidly. The current market price directly translates to the percentage chance traders assign to each outcome, making Kalshi's pricing transparent and responsive to real-world developments.
The South Africa: Tournament Goals market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official tournament statistics recorded at the conclusion of the event. The specific outcome criteria—whether measuring total goals scored, goals by particular teams, or other goal-related metrics—are defined in the market's terms. Traders should review the full resolution criteria on Kalshi to understand exactly which data source and definition will settle the contract.
Several catalysts could shift odds for South Africa: Tournament Goals before Jul 20, 2026. Team roster announcements, key player injuries or recoveries, and official tournament scheduling changes will influence goal-scoring expectations. Pre-tournament friendlies and recent form of participating nations provide fresh data on offensive and defensive strength. Venue conditions, weather forecasts, and rule changes can also impact goal totals. Additionally, early tournament matches may reveal unexpected team performance or tactical adjustments, prompting traders to reassess their forecasts and repricing the market accordingly.