TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns a One Day International (ODI) cricket match between Namibia and South Africa scheduled for September 13, 2026. The markets resolve to which team is officially declared the winner, accounting for potential scenarios like DLS/DRS adjustments, tiebreakers, and match cancellations.
This market refers to the cricket match between Namibia and South Africa scheduled for September 13 2026 at 3:30 AM ET in South Africa Tour of Namibia ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the cricket match between Namibia and South Africa scheduled for September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 'Namibia' if Namibia is officially declared the winner of the match, and to 'South Africa' if South Africa is officially declared the winner. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Limitless for the South Africa-Namibia ODI series can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing opinions reflected in the odds. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence pricing. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds – whether through continuous trading or limit orders – can create discrepancies. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the value of cross-platform analysis.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the South African or Namibian teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Weather conditions during the matches could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over the other. Any news regarding team selection or strategic changes could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, strong performances in early matches of the series could lead to a reassessment of each team's chances, causing the market to adjust accordingly.