TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 3:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if South Africa wins by 2 or more goals against Nicaragua during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 29, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 29, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The market resolves on May 30, 2026 following the conclusion of the South Africa vs Nicaragua match. Resolution is determined by the final score: the market settles affirmatively if South Africa wins by a margin of two or more goals, and negatively otherwise. This includes any draws, South African wins by exactly one goal, or Nicaragua victories. Traders should monitor official match results and any relevant governing body announcements to confirm the final outcome on which the market settlement is based.
Key catalysts that could shift the market price include confirmed team lineups and injury announcements affecting either squad's attacking or defensive strength. Recent form and head-to-head history between South Africa and Nicaragua will influence trader conviction. Weather conditions at the venue, such as wind or rain, can impact goal-scoring likelihood. Betting market movements and analyst commentary may also sway prediction market participants. As match day approaches, any late-breaking news about player fitness, tactical changes, or team morale could trigger significant price movements before the market resolves on May 30, 2026.